Form acquired in firm and dead going is not necessarily a good guide to a horse’s chances in wet ground. It is however an indication of fitness therefore we cannot dismiss such horses with reasonable form on decent tracks when they face a change of going because some horses handle most types of going. We cannot rule out horses with poor form either especially if their recent racing has been in going which is not their preferred type. This becomes a balancing act, one which can frustrate form students who having weighed up the pros and cons of each horse’s chances will watch in despair as an unbacked longshot with absolutely no form in bad ground romps home.
It is important to put things into perspective. A 20/1 winner means you only need to get one winner in every 20 bets yet some people will try a system once and … Read the rest